By Colin Mason
Has the long run a destiny? Are we bringing background to an finish? watching anybody of a number of person yet serious developments means that, with no fast and optimistic motion, background could have just a very brief technique to run. if it is the expansion of worldwide inhabitants, of greenhouse fuel concentrations and the accelerating cost of weather switch, the working down of oil and average gasoline reserves, transforming into shortages of unpolluted water for agriculture, and household use, or the expanding hassle in controlling epidemic illnesses � we face a mounting worldwide situation that would height in below a new release, round the 12 months 2030. Taken jointly, those developments element to a possibly apocalyptic interval, if now not for the planet itself then definitely for human societies and for humankind. during this compelling booklet, and replace to The 2030 Spike, Colin Mason explains in transparent and irrefutable phrases what's going � principally under the skin of our day-by-day or weekly information announcements. the image he paints is stark, and but it's not bleak. Being forewarned, we're forearmed, and he attracts on his personal huge political adventure to explain how a lot we will do as contributors, and specially jointly, no longer simply to evade situation yet to engineer thoroughgoing switch that could herald really sustainable and precious possible choices to the best way we are living now.
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Additional info for A Short History of the Future: Surviving the 2030 Spike
We must take climate change – and indeed the apocalyptic ‘tipping point’ concept – very seriously. The evidence is fast growing that it will be highly dangerous if the current disinclination to do much about it continues. The year 2005 was the hottest, driest and stormiest on record in many places, setting a new record damage cost of more than $200 billion as a result of extreme weather. Hurricane Katrina in the US accounted for well over $100 billion of this. The previous record year for disaster damage was 2004.
The previous record year for disaster damage was 2004. Paradoxically, a little ice age severely affecting western Europe, especially the UK, seems likely quite soon. Temperatures would drop as much as 8°C, London would be snowbound for many months, huge areas of cropland would no longer produce food. This would result from disruption of the Atlantic Conveyor system of sea currents, which includes the Gulf Stream. This disastrous event could occur abruptly, within a decade, and last for decades, if not centuries.
There are research and aid agencies which understand the problems of the developing countries, which are collectively 40 IS THERE A CRISIS? achieving ‘sustainable agriculture’ techniques that have dramatically increased food crop yields for millions of poor farmers. One Madagascan venture that has greatly increased rice yields through quite simple changes to crop management9 has since been extended to China, Indonesia and Cambodia. The International Centre for Research in Agroforestry is tackling the serious problem of a loss of soil fertility in equatorial Africa – not with increasing fertilizer use, which the farmers cannot afford anyway, but by natural and sustainable means.